Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +14 (103-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mehmet Okur * | 40 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Keith McLeod * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andre Owens | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 16 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter