Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -6 (85-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 41 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 33 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Fitch * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| James Posey * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 23 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Felton * | 42 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Jumaine Jones * | 37 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 30 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Bernard Robinson * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kevin Burleson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter