Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | +5.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -9 (98-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 41 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 38 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 7-16 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 37 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| James Jones * | 18 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pat Burke | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 10-20 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 7 | - |
| James Posey * | 35 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 27 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Fitch * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter