Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -9 (93-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 6-18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 7-18 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 24 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baron Davis * | 41 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 39 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 37 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 3-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 18 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zarko Cabarkapa | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter