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2006-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 61.9% 38.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Margin 24.3% 75.7% +6.3 โœ“ (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Rockets +24 (102-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jumaine Jones * 36 4-9 3-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 11 4 -
Brevin Knight * 31 6-9 0-0 2-2 5 7 2 0 5 14 14 -
Matt Carroll * 28 3-6 2-4 11-12 2 1 1 1 2 19 16 -
Melvin Ely * 26 4-11 0-0 2-6 7 0 0 1 4 10 3 -
Primoz Brezec * 24 4-7 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 10 10 -
Raymond Felton * 23 2-9 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 4 2 -
Alan Anderson * 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
Bernard Robinson * 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Kevin Burleson * 11 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jake Voskuhl 15 0-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rafer Alston * 37 1-10 0-5 1-2 8 8 1 0 0 3 10 -
David Wesley * 37 5-11 3-6 2-4 2 6 1 0 0 15 13 -
Tracy McGrady * 28 10-25 1-6 8-14 8 6 0 1 1 29 18 -
Chuck Hayes * 28 4-4 0-0 3-5 8 2 2 2 3 11 18 -
Juwan Howard * 26 5-9 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 12 7 -
Lonny Baxter * 26 8-13 0-0 2-2 11 0 2 1 0 18 19 -
Luther Head * 24 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
Dikembe Mutombo * 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
John Lucas III 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 4 -2 -
Moochie Norris 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter