Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.3% | 92.7% | +13.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +28 (104-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jumaine Jones * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 27 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Bernard Robinson * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 23 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 23 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Burleson * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 24 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 22 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Melvin Sanders | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Sean Marks | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
* = starter