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2006-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 81.2% 18.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 77.6% 22.4% - โœ“
Margin 69.8% 30.2% -4.6 โœ“ (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 76.6% 23.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.1% 38.9% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -24 (83-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayshaun Prince * 39 4-9 1-2 6-6 4 2 1 0 3 15 10 -
Chauncey Billups * 35 9-20 6-11 3-3 7 8 1 1 3 27 21 -
Rasheed Wallace * 33 6-13 3-5 0-0 9 3 0 1 0 15 15 -
Ben Wallace * 32 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 3 1 6 13 -
Maurice Evans * 26 5-5 2-2 0-0 5 2 1 1 0 12 16 -
Richard Hamilton * 25 5-12 0-0 0-0 2 7 2 0 0 10 9 -
Antonio McDyess * 22 7-15 0-0 2-3 9 0 0 1 0 16 11 -
Carlos Arroyo * 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Darko Milicic 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Amir Johnson 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 2 -1 -
Jason Maxiell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wally Szczerbiak * 39 3-8 1-1 6-6 3 3 1 1 1 13 12 -
Kevin Garnett * 35 10-24 0-1 1-1 10 1 0 0 2 21 6 -
Trenton Hassell * 31 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 3 6 4 -
Eddie Griffin * 30 3-10 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 2 0 6 6 -
Marko Jaric * 26 1-6 0-0 4-4 2 2 1 0 5 6 0 -
Rashad McCants * 23 6-11 0-1 2-4 3 2 2 0 1 14 9 -
Anthony Carter * 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 6 0 0 1 4 4 -
Ronald Dupree * 13 3-4 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 0 1 8 8 -
Mark Madsen * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Bracey Wright 5 2-5 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -

* = starter