Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (94-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 39 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 33 | 8-17 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 26 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Burks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 13-20 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 23 | - |
| James Posey * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter