Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -3 (149-152). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 53 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 51 | 14-28 | 8-16 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 23 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 45 | 13-22 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 43 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Robert Swift * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Reggie Evans | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 53 | 15-30 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 26 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 49 | 10-17 | 7-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 49 | 12-20 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 29 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 43 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 40 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 22 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| James Jones * | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House * | 15 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter