Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +20 (119-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Thomas * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 34 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 32 | 7-19 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jason Hart | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jamal Sampson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 27 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 23 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter