Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +3.6 | ✗ (30.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -27 (76-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Griffin * | 32 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 30 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 26 | 10-14 | 4-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 19 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luther Head * | 46 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 34 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 10 | - |
| David Wesley * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lonny Baxter * | 20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter