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2006-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% +3.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% - โœ“
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +7 (103-96). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Garnett * 44 11-26 1-2 6-8 13 4 0 1 0 29 21 -
Trenton Hassell * 41 7-11 0-1 4-5 4 3 1 0 3 18 12 -
Wally Szczerbiak * 39 8-16 0-5 6-6 6 3 1 0 2 22 14 -
Troy Hudson * 30 5-11 3-5 0-0 2 6 0 0 1 13 9 -
Marko Jaric * 28 1-5 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 3 5 -
Michael Olowokandi * 24 2-5 0-0 1-2 9 1 1 1 1 5 11 -
Eddie Griffin * 19 1-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 4 0 2 6 -
Rashad McCants * 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Ronald Dupree 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Pierce * 42 8-17 4-6 5-9 8 3 0 0 3 25 16 -
Ricky Davis * 39 4-11 0-1 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 10 6 -
Kendrick Perkins * 30 8-11 0-0 1-4 6 0 0 2 0 17 14 -
Delonte West * 27 5-10 2-5 2-2 5 3 2 0 0 14 14 -
Al Jefferson * 26 8-13 0-1 2-3 8 1 0 2 0 18 16 -
Raef LaFrentz * 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 1 1 5 8 -
Orien Greene * 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 1 5 -
Brian Scalabrine * 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Justin Reed * 10 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Marcus Banks * 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 4 3 -
Tony Allen * 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Mark Blount * 5 1-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter