Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.7 | ✗ (29.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +29 (119-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raja Bell * | 34 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 32 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eddie House * | 19 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| James Jones * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Pat Burke | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dijon Thompson | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Josh Davis | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Garcia * | 42 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 38 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 38 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 37 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 33 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brian Skinner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Sampson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter