Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (100-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 11-24 | 0-3 | 12-16 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 19 | - |
| James Posey * | 40 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 26 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 17 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 40 | 13-24 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 20 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 40 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 40 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Devean George * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brian Cook * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Bynum | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter