Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +19 (114-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 39 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 11-12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 11 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 20 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Reece Gaines | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine Jackson | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ervin Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 14-21 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 22 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 36 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Keith Van Horn | 5 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Powell | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter