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2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% +4.8 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Margin 22.8% 77.2% +6.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns +9 (115-106). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 43 18-28 5-8 5-5 7 8 1 0 1 46 33 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 35 11-20 0-0 4-4 12 2 0 0 3 26 17 -
Eric Snow * 34 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 6 4 -
Damon Jones * 33 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Donyell Marshall * 26 3-11 1-5 0-0 9 2 0 1 2 7 6 -
Drew Gooden * 20 4-6 0-0 4-5 6 1 0 0 0 12 13 -
Mike Wilks * 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 4 5 -
Luke Jackson * 18 0-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 -7 -
Ira Newble * 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Anderson Varejao 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shawn Marion * 45 12-21 0-3 1-2 12 1 1 3 1 25 20 -
Raja Bell * 43 9-14 5-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 23 15 -
Steve Nash * 36 6-13 3-4 5-6 3 15 1 0 0 20 26 -
Kurt Thomas * 34 2-8 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 1 0 5 8 -
Boris Diaw * 32 8-11 0-0 2-2 1 6 2 0 0 18 16 -
Leandro Barbosa * 19 3-7 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 -
Eddie House * 18 7-10 3-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 17 9 -
James Jones * 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter