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2006-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.7 โœ“ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.9% 87.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +23 (114-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Primoz Brezec * 37 8-16 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 18 5 -
Jumaine Jones * 35 6-13 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 12 4 -
Gerald Wallace * 28 5-7 0-0 4-7 8 1 3 2 4 14 17 -
Bernard Robinson * 27 5-9 0-0 1-1 5 1 1 0 1 11 8 -
Raymond Felton * 26 4-6 1-1 0-2 0 3 0 0 2 9 4 -
Keith Bogans * 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
Brevin Knight * 19 4-7 0-0 2-2 0 5 1 0 0 10 9 -
Alan Anderson * 14 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
Kevin Burleson * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 0 2 -
Matt Carroll 17 1-6 0-2 4-5 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richard Hamilton * 34 8-13 0-1 3-4 2 6 0 0 2 19 12 -
Chauncey Billups * 33 4-8 3-6 2-2 3 6 1 0 3 13 12 -
Ben Wallace * 30 5-9 0-1 0-0 13 3 2 5 3 10 21 -
Tayshaun Prince * 30 6-14 2-2 2-2 4 3 0 2 0 16 11 -
Rasheed Wallace * 29 4-10 2-4 2-2 2 4 0 1 0 12 9 -
Antonio McDyess * 22 7-9 0-0 2-4 4 0 2 1 1 16 13 -
Maurice Evans * 19 7-11 2-3 2-3 3 1 1 0 0 18 12 -
Carlos Arroyo * 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 8 0 0 1 4 12 -
Carlos Delfino 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 0 1 2 4 -
Darko Milicic 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
Dale Davis 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
Jason Maxiell 4 0-1 0-0 3-8 2 0 1 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter