Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -13 (104-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| James Posey * | 22 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Fitch | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ridnour * | 43 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 38 | 10-21 | 2-5 | 11-16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 19 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Robert Swift * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Danny Fortson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter