Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -14 (96-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 13-19 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 28 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 27 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 26 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| James Posey * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Dunleavy * | 41 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 35 | 9-20 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 26 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Zarko Cabarkapa * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chris Taft | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Monta Ellis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter