Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +18 (111-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 38 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 30 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 25 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Gerald Fitch * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| James Posey * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raja Bell * | 42 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 39 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 39 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-10 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | - |
| James Jones * | 31 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Eddie House * | 21 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Pat Burke * | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dijon Thompson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter