๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2006-01-06

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings +4 (118-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elton Brand * 45 9-21 0-0 6-9 13 2 1 2 1 24 20 -
Cuttino Mobley * 40 5-13 0-0 4-4 3 7 4 0 0 14 15 -
Chris Kaman * 37 9-16 0-0 7-7 13 2 1 3 5 25 23 -
Sam Cassell * 37 8-19 2-4 10-10 1 5 1 2 5 28 13 -
Daniel Ewing * 29 5-10 1-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
Shaun Livingston * 17 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
Quinton Ross * 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Boniface Ndong * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Walter McCarty * 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Yaroslav Korolev 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Chris Wilcox 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brad Miller * 44 11-18 0-0 4-5 3 4 1 1 5 26 12 -
Peja Stojakovic * 41 6-15 0-3 7-7 13 0 1 0 3 19 15 -
Mike Bibby * 40 11-18 2-3 8-8 5 8 1 1 3 32 26 -
Kevin Martin * 37 8-11 1-2 0-0 5 5 1 0 1 17 16 -
Jason Hart * 20 4-5 0-0 2-3 0 2 1 1 0 10 9 -
Brian Skinner * 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 2 2 6 -
Kenny Thomas * 18 2-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
Corliss Williamson * 9 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
Francisco Garcia * 8 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 -

* = starter