Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -2 (112-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 43 | 11-20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 42 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 30 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 41 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 17 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 45 | 11-24 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 6 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 44 | 6-19 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 31 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Linas Kleiza | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter