Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +13 (91-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 38 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 21 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Adrian Griffin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 43 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Marko Jaric * | 42 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 37 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 32 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Michael Olowokandi * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Rashad McCants * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Richie Frahm | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ronald Dupree | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter