Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -2 (109-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baron Davis * | 40 | 11-18 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 29 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 40 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 39 | 12-26 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zarko Cabarkapa | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 31 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 21 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 20 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter