Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (109-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 41 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 12-17 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 35 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jermaine Jackson * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reece Gaines | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 15-19 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 30 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 36 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| James Posey * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 20 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter