Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +22 (102-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 34 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Sarunas Jasikevicius * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 15 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| David Harrison * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Scot Pollard | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eddie Gill | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 11-11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 34 | 4-15 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 27 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Josh Powell | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter