Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (97-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 44 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 44 | 12-30 | 0-8 | 13-19 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 20 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Brian Cook * | 20 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Devean George * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Von Wafer | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 34 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 31 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 29 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| James Posey * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter