Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -3 (98-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 9-20 | 1-2 | 15-15 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 34 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 17 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 15 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 35 | 8-21 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 23 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 23 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Johan Petro | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mateen Cleaves | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter