๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2005-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - โœ—
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.8 โœ— (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 37.9% 62.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% - โœ—

Actual: Phoenix Suns -1 (111-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caron Butler * 44 10-20 0-1 6-7 5 2 1 0 2 26 12 -
Gilbert Arenas * 43 15-24 6-9 5-10 3 5 1 0 5 41 21 -
Antawn Jamison * 41 8-19 1-1 5-6 13 0 0 0 3 22 13 -
Jared Jeffries * 31 4-9 0-0 1-2 12 3 1 0 3 9 13 -
Brendan Haywood * 27 2-4 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 1 5 8 -
Antonio Daniels * 19 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 2 6 -
Michael Ruffin * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Calvin Booth * 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 4 -
Chucky Atkins 8 2-4 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raja Bell * 43 6-12 3-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 15 9 -
Shawn Marion * 38 5-10 1-4 1-2 9 2 4 2 0 12 19 -
James Jones * 37 7-12 3-4 1-3 7 3 2 0 0 18 18 -
Steve Nash * 35 8-17 4-8 7-9 4 9 0 0 2 27 21 -
Kurt Thomas * 24 7-10 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 1 0 18 14 -
Boris Diaw * 23 3-7 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 1 2 8 6 -
Eddie House * 20 4-15 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 9 -2 -
Pat Burke * 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
Jim Jackson * 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 2 2 -

* = starter