Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +22 (108-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luther Head * | 37 | 2-13 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 34 | 4-17 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| David Wesley * | 30 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Lonny Baxter * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Graham | 15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 32 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 5-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 8 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 28 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 23 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Julius Hodge | 6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Linas Kleiza | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter