Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +12 (97-85). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baron Davis * | 42 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 35 | 5-15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 31 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Zarko Cabarkapa * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 43 | 8-17 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 35 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 33 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 14 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
* = starter