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2005-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 77.2% 22.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 55.6% 44.4% - โœ—
Margin 31.0% 69.0% +4.4 โœ“ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +12 (101-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mehmet Okur * 40 9-18 3-6 2-4 11 7 2 1 4 23 22 -
Deron Williams * 39 4-14 1-4 2-2 5 7 0 0 2 11 7 -
Gordan Giricek * 38 7-16 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 4 14 4 -
Jarron Collins * 30 1-4 0-0 3-3 5 2 0 0 2 5 6 -
Matt Harpring * 27 8-13 0-0 3-3 10 2 2 0 3 19 17 -
Devin Brown * 20 4-9 0-0 2-6 3 3 1 0 2 10 6 -
Robert Whaley * 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 6 7 -
Keith McLeod * 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Andre Owens * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 -
Milt Palacio * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Kris Humphries * 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Greg Ostertag 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ricky Davis * 40 6-12 0-2 8-10 3 4 2 0 3 20 14 -
Paul Pierce * 38 11-21 0-5 8-9 3 3 2 1 2 30 16 -
Delonte West * 33 5-8 0-0 5-6 7 5 3 2 1 15 23 -
Mark Blount * 27 5-10 0-0 4-4 4 3 0 1 4 14 8 -
Al Jefferson * 26 3-6 0-0 4-5 5 0 2 4 0 10 15 -
Kendrick Perkins * 19 1-2 0-0 3-5 6 0 1 3 3 5 10 -
Marcus Banks * 14 0-1 0-1 4-4 0 2 0 0 2 4 3 -
Raef LaFrentz * 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Orien Greene * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Brian Scalabrine * 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Ryan Gomes * 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

* = starter