Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +8 (115-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 11-22 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 23 | - |
| James Posey * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 20 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Gerald Fitch * | 13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 46 | 12-19 | 2-4 | 15-16 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 41 | 34 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 42 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 38 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter