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2005-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% - โœ“
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.0 โœ— (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 48.1% 51.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% - โœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -4 (96-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Redd * 42 9-17 2-4 4-6 5 3 1 0 3 24 13 -
Mo Williams * 41 9-20 2-4 4-5 9 4 3 0 2 24 18 -
T.J. Ford * 39 6-11 1-3 6-8 5 7 3 0 3 19 20 -
Jamaal Magloire * 33 5-10 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 0 2 11 9 -
Andrew Bogut * 27 6-9 0-0 1-2 3 5 0 1 4 13 9 -
Jiri Welsch * 20 1-3 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 3 5 -
Dan Gadzuric * 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
Toni Kukoc * 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 1 2 0 -1 -
Jermaine Jackson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Pierce * 40 8-18 2-5 5-5 9 10 0 0 2 23 22 -
Ricky Davis * 39 5-13 1-3 3-4 3 6 0 0 4 14 6 -
Mark Blount * 35 6-12 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 1 6 14 8 -
Delonte West * 29 5-8 0-2 2-2 2 5 1 0 2 12 10 -
Kendrick Perkins * 22 0-2 0-0 6-8 9 1 0 5 0 6 19 -
Marcus Banks * 21 5-8 1-1 1-2 1 4 2 0 2 12 9 -
Raef LaFrentz * 19 3-9 1-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
Ryan Gomes * 12 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Al Jefferson * 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -1 -
Orien Greene * 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Dan Dickau 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter