Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.1% | 14.9% | -5.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.0% | 29.0% | -4.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -2 (88-90). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 42 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 38 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 37 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 45 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Marko Jaric * | 40 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 39 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 34 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Michael Olowokandi * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rashad McCants * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter