Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -17 (83-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 37 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 24 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 20 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| James Posey * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Gerald Fitch * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Ford * | 47 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 43 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 41 | 8-22 | 2-11 | 6-8 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Reece Gaines * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Davis * | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter