Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -3 (97-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 40 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 27 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 23 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Fitch * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| James Posey * | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 20 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Hinrich * | 42 | 7-18 | 4-9 | 8-11 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Michael Sweetney * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 21 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 21 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Othella Harrington | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter