Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +10 (94-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 38 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 38 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 41 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| John Edwards * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter