Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -8 (92-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 41 | 13-30 | 1-2 | 13-14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 16 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 10-23 | 0-0 | 17-21 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 25 | - |
| James Posey * | 40 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 32 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Fitch * | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter