Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +14 (98-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 8-20 | 0-1 | 15-17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 26 | 3-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| James Posey * | 21 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Gerald Fitch | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 33 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 32 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Brent Barry | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter