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2005-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% - โœ—
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 โœ— (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 36.0% 64.0% - โœ—

Actual: Sacramento Kings -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Garnett * 40 3-14 0-0 5-8 10 4 2 0 3 11 10 -
Wally Szczerbiak * 36 9-12 0-2 0-0 9 0 0 0 4 18 11 -
Marko Jaric * 35 2-7 1-3 3-4 6 4 4 0 1 8 14 -
Trenton Hassell * 33 3-8 0-0 4-5 5 4 2 0 1 10 12 -
Troy Hudson * 25 6-12 1-3 4-4 2 3 0 0 1 17 9 -
Michael Olowokandi * 21 6-13 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 1 13 4 -
Mark Madsen * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Eddie Griffin * 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 2 4 2 2 -
Ronald Dupree * 9 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 3 4 1 -
Richie Frahm * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Peja Stojakovic * 32 4-13 0-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 3 10 1 -
Shareef Abdur-Rahim * 31 3-9 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
Mike Bibby * 29 6-11 0-2 2-4 2 5 0 0 2 14 8 -
Brad Miller * 26 0-6 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Bonzi Wells * 26 4-10 0-1 1-2 3 4 3 0 5 9 4 -
Kenny Thomas * 21 5-8 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 2 11 8 -
Jason Hart * 18 2-5 0-3 0-2 0 1 1 0 2 4 -1 -
Francisco Garcia * 17 2-5 1-2 4-5 0 3 0 0 0 9 7 -
Corliss Williamson * 17 4-7 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 10 5 -
Brian Skinner * 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 4 8 -
Kevin Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter