Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | -2.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -11 (87-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 41 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 16 | - |
| James Posey * | 34 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 23 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Miller * | 40 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 40 | 3-16 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 39 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter