Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -22 (74-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 8-22 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 36 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| James Posey * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 22 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Harrington * | 42 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 39 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| John Edwards | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| John Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter