Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +22 (98-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 43 | 6-20 | 0-4 | 7-11 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 38 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 31 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Luke Jackson * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Zendon Hamilton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 24 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sarunas Jasikevicius * | 20 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| David Harrison * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter