Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +12.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (102-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luther Head * | 43 | 9-17 | 5-8 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 37 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 31 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| David Wesley * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 43 | 11-18 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 11-19 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 39 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter