Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | +1.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -3 (93-96). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 30 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 15 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Robert Horry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonzi Wells * | 45 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 35 | 11-23 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 14 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter