Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +20 (100-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 37 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 10-13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 10 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Charlie Bell | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 32 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 30 | 6-17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 26 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| CJ Miles | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Robert Whaley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andre Owens | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter