Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (107-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 14-29 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 19 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| James Posey * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 31 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 43 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Mike James * | 40 | 7-16 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Rafael Araujo * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Darrick Martin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter