Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.1 | ✓ (32.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +37 (119-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 30 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 27 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jason Maxiell | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 38 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rawle Marshall | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter