Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✗ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -12 (103-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Miller * | 44 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 39 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 39 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 33 | 11-19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 27 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 24 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Lawrence Roberts * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Antonio Burks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 43 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 41 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| James Jones * | 21 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Eddie House * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter